Rabu, 07 Maret 2012

Econobusiness Biocycle Dynamic Forecast on Quarterly and Yearly Time Series based on Power of Natural Law Driven (Earth and Universe)

By : Edmond F. La’lang (economic and environment observer)

Holistic approach driven to get the analyzed with some knowledge approach for how to synergism and synchronized to drawing the painting of the next curve will be happened in stocks, forex, commodities and real markets and every aspect of Human Life Activities :

a. Bio-economic Driven (Economic and Market Bio-ritmic and Bio-cycle)
        This method is to use biological means to know the performance of all systems including the economic field, where all economic actors are also creatures in the biological behavior is strongly influenced by biological and psychological nature. So will there was a dynamic and biological cycles and psikolgis the interplay within a national economy and global communities that make up a rhythm that can be monitored through the strains of the movement graph. Likewise we can study the behavior of subtropical birds moving north to south or vice versa in the change of seasons, or the movement of tuna by the influence of wind and water currents from the tropical to sub tropical or vice versa (Oyashiwa and Kuroshiwa) in the movement of the season and Jet Stream in the region equator and economic conditions based on the change of season 4 in the sub-tropics. Also Paul Ormerod wear behavior of the butterfly (Butterfly Economy) and ant to know the trend of economic conditions, and Newt Gingrich (U.S. senator) who use the system behavior simpanze to know the different behavior of political opponents to excel in politics.

b. Psychological Driven (Global Mass Psychology, Expectation and Activities )

           Human is a biological creature that the which have psychologic aspects not be Able to measure and quantified by a mathematic economy parameters, Because its have a 2-3 formulas mathematic dimensions and meanwhile have only one dimension. Psychologic conditions like expectations, aspiration, dream, excite, wants, emotions (upset, angry, sad, etc), greed, confused, panic, afraid and the other various psychological aspects. This bio-economic will of personal and mass combined various national and global psychologic that will from seeing and reading by various ways of communications, gestures and words of businessman, Government Officials for comments of economic growth conditions, financial index, consumer price index and the form of graphics Global stocks, forex, commodities, obligations, bonds and many others. This combined of the above by instinct and intuitive ways, We can go globally to know-how what the will of some mass psychologic trustee or not toward the business performance of sectoral and general economic growth. And we can know be better, what will from some happens in the future, so that we able to avoid various problems in market risk, business risk, macro economic risk cans make the which turbulencies, crises and recessions That make a person, corporate and country will from some loss, failure and bankruptcy. Or according to George Soros, I will from walking in the front of the curve, That he will from a first take some positions for 6 months before without having a panic, sweats and big bath in the turbulencies, losses, crisis and recession is coming. The failure of government to handle this mass psychologic will from some potential to make a turbulencies and systemic effects like the tsunami or earth quake. So, why we do not have a early warning system and preventive ways to have a good and smooth conditions.

c. Mozaik Topographyc Driven (Earth Mapping with Terristerial Measurements, Air Photograph and  Satellite  Remote Sensing and Geo Positioning System / GPS).

          An a geographic and mapping expert that use to streoskopic device with three dimension can see and know-contour rhytmic of various height and place of a photograph on a map area or region. A geography and mapping using the tool streoskopis with 3-dimensional image can know the shape contour and rhythm of various heights from an aerial photograph of an area with a certain height and type of land use, such as settlements, rice fields, fields, ponds and forests. Who's sending a remote expert (remote sensing) to interpret a variety of images from the satellite image degradation and color mosaic to delineated which can read all the diversity of land use, condition hidroorologis and various mineral mineral content of a region With this expertise we can also see mosaic and strains the movement of various market indices well to predict the dynamics and movement of the rate of economic growth and business correctly and accurately so that we avoid the various risks of harm. Similarly, physicist (physics of Fessant economically and Tannous) can see the movement of business index stocks, forex, commodities, macroeconomic data to model seismic systems, electric cathode diode model, etc.

           To know the direction of the trend of a graph of the rise and fall of a time series graph, so that when the momentum of rise or fall within a certain time. Similarly, George Soros can find various movements all business index method Reflections (condition exciting, self-reinforcing and catastrophic). GPS can be used to determine the existence of the position of a person or object on this earth. GPS systems also can be used basically to see how far psychological load, volume and size of transactions on a real market and finansil and direction of movement of the flow of funds / capital market of a region (country) to country with computerized systems that connect with satellites, such as satellites to monitor the movement of air flow / wind, rain, weather forecast, the movement of birds, fish, spores, virus diseases and even the human mind into all parts of the world to predict trends, action, result, potential fluctuations (turbulence) and the crisis with the method of early warning system are coordinated and systematic. So, we can know and read with appropriate mass psychological condition, the direction of the global mass movement and the desire to map its business plan.

d. Mechanical and Rockets System Driven

           With mechanical science, we can know the speed moving of  bullet or rocket, where also like movement of global index in the market of stocks, forex, commodities, obligations, bonds, and the others that can be analyzed by mechanical and rocket systems. There are some of Japan expert in economy and market that have implemented rocket performance system to predicting various index in global market. An bullet and rocket if to fire with elevation sekitar 30 degree, so that will be fall more distance than more 30 degree and if to 90 degree will be fall not far from its fire or launched.
        This is because the force of gravity will pull it back down before it reaches beyond the Earth's atmosphere, in the sense that if we want to ride fast with steep slopes, such as rock climbing mountain, then if the less powerful will cause us to fall quickly (free fall), exhausted and more severe consequences from a higher place than just fall from low altitude. With the shape the movement of the graph, then we can draw an imaginary line (as in space science and goniometry) to find out how long the form of graphs an index must be corrected or rapid collapse (catastroph) or the form of hang-cliff that if the mass of the moist soil , no binding tree, then the mass of soil from steep slopes will be prone to landslides  that can be fatal to the existing building and the people beneath him and hangs over the theory of economic growth means economic stagnation occur.  For good combination that likely support by Fundamental Macro 
Economy and Technical Graphic Analysis.

Foot note :

This is shorterm and longterm fluctuation which will be happen in naturally that drive by mood and psychological global mass to take trading positions in crowded market. But if there are a very urgent fundamental data or news, the fluctuation in graphic maybe happen in turbulence fluctuation move up or move down more than shorter forecasting.  And a part of big fluctuation dynamic on biorhythmic and biocycle in midterm and longterm cycle. So you may not being only Globalize with Internet but now you must be have vision as GALAXIZATION with GALAXINET    

Where we can know the strains and the condition of the Universe Kingdom in the short term (10 years), medium term of 50 years and long term 100-200 years), which will also be evident in a "Certainty of Life (certainty) rather than uncertainty (uncertainty) "who always complained of many parties, including the leaders of the state policy makers, leaders of business policy (industrialists and traders) as well as experts in various fields of life. The power and influence of Law galaxy (Universe Kingdom) this will always affect every aspect of our lives on this planet, either consciously or unconsciously to anticipate properly.  

Commodities Market

Contact :
Edmond F. La'lang
Email  :   edmond.lalang@gmail.com
Telp.    :  +62031-3538606
HP       :  +62081-553080521 
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